Friday, February 5, 2010

The Tipping Point In Constitutional Democracies

- The equilibrium point between conservatism and order and the tendency toward secular progressivism and disorder according to the Second Law.
Entropy, according to the second law of thermodynamics, is the measure of disorder in a system. The entropy of the universe as a whole tends to a maximum. In the context of nations, this means that no nation or empire lasts indefinitely. On this point history is clear and unequivocal: Ancient Greece and Rome, Persian empire, Turkish empire, British empire, the Mongol empire of the 13th century which was the world’s largest contiguous empire. None lasted and all eventually disintegrated. The American Empire is next in line; the how is in progress, it’s just a matter of when and how soon. It has rapidly progressed toward the max lately.

According to Entropy Law, the arrow of time (a, above) always marches from order to disorder and consequently all civilizations and their cultures will crumble with time, the average stable lifetime being about 200 years before the elements of cultural decline begin to set in . For America it was the volatile 60's. Prior to that time there was a near equilibrium between the elements of civil order and disorder( b, above). Since the 60's, there has been a slow shift away from near equilibrium and stability to secular progressivism/socialism in certain regions, mostly the west and east coast. More significant the shift was away from the mostly conservative traditional lifestyle we all enjoyed growing up in the 40's - 50's which did take quite a lot of energy to maintain, but since the vast majority of Americans were conservative traditionalists, both Democrat and Republican, there was little political conflict. Those upheavals of the 60's from the far left threw the near equilibrium state to a more disordered state (c, above) driven by the elements of progressivism never to return to near cultural equilibrium( b, above). No matter how much energy we traditionalists put in or even if progressivism fails miserably, the equilibrium will never shift to more order overall (d, above) because that would defy the Law of Entropy. Pockets of order may reestablish as new republics, as matter has with organic evolution and the evolution of species. Those new republics, however, will begin to decline the second the ink dries on their constitution!

As someone said recently in a review of Bill O'Reilly's bestselling book, Culture Warrior: "Think about it - Secular Progressivism reduces everything to matter, which is locked in the prison cell of thermodynamics and entropy." What he is saying I believe is that Secular Progressivism(S-P), what we Culture Warriors are continually fighting, reduces cultural institutions to a more random dynamic form like Helium gas in a balloon which follows the Entropy Law when released into the air never to return to a stable collection of atoms but scattered randomly all over in the Earth's atmosphere. The one world, no borders, utopian socialistic society is the dream of most S-Ps. Once Secular Progressivism rears it's ugly head, the culture continually decays to cultural chaos/disorder never to return to it's more stable earlier traditional nationalistic state, in our case dictated by the American Constitution. S-Ps generally believe the Constitution is outdated and should be completely rewritten, if not abolished, and what revisionist liberal judges continually strive to do and have been successful lately in landmark cases.

According to another blogger on Blogspot in his Blog, Unqualified Reservations, he asserts that: "Progressivism is obviously entropic and it's enemy is order. Progressives instinctively despise formality, authority, and hierarchy." Formality, authority, hierarchy and traditional values are all hallmarks of traditional American values and conservative thinking! I conceptualize a critical tipping point in a culture/nation as the equilibrium point between order and disorder. According to the second Law of Thermodynamics (Heat/Energy Laws), equilibrium can never be fully established because entropy/disorder is always increasing in a system and that is why we traditionalists must work harder to slow down cultural disorder in the form of Progressivism , anarchy, and Socialism. Anarchy groups have been increasing lately disguised as Green Groups among college students, an alarming trend much like the 60's, and we have a progressive administration so we traditionalists must input more energy just to maintain a state of near equilibrium as possible which fluctuates with time. According to the Entropy Law, it doesn't take much change to push to increased disorder - the economic meltdown in '09 as a perfect example.

Political scientists have long used entropy considerations:
In 2001, American social scientist Carl Boggs used the term political entropy as a metaphor for, what he describes as, “the deep sense of political malaise that gripped American society in the 1990s—a malaise deeply rooted in historical processes that have given rise to unprecedented levels of popular distrust, hostility, and alienation toward the political system, politicians, and indeed ‘politics’ in general”, signified by a less than 25 percent public confidence in the federal government during this period. He goes on to state: “measured by virtually any set of criteria, the political system is in a (potentially terminal) state of entropy, out of touch with the needs and aspirations of the vast majority of people; citizenship—its rights and obligations—has decayed beyond recognition.” See: Political Entropy and American Decline,Cerny, P.G., Millennium - Journal of International Studies.1989; 18: 47-63.

Many economists use entropy considerations in their analyses:

One of the most rational voices on the right, Dr. Charles Krauthammer, sees American decline and the end of American ascendancy as the result of political choices we have made. These days it won't take much to push way past the political and economic tipping point to more chaos - another large terrorist attack, a deeper depression, another war, another filibuster proof Democratic majority in the senate or another economic meltdown. We were close to that point in 2009 but survived because huge amounts of money was required to restore balance consequently the order before the crash will never be restored due to considerable financial chaos and loss of jobs among the citizens which will never be restored. Many have dramatically changed their politics accordingly, mostly to the right, and this can breed revolution. The French Revolution is a good example how anarchy and disorder can change a political system overnight and then slowly drift into socialism. These days the Tea Party Movement hints of anarchy largely from the right because many of them advocate ditching the entire congress and administration and replacing them with "true conservatives" - a very unrealistic mission. This is somewhat alarming because many of them are rabid with anger, have financial backing and some have small arsenals at home and not afraid to use them if backed into a corner. The filibuster proof majority the Democrats enjoyed before the Massachusetts election of Scott Brown was a dangerous point and was critical to eliminate in order to restore near equilibrium. Fortunately, many independents, Blue Dog and Southern Democrats realized this untenable situation and voted Republican and will again in November so we have bought some more valuable time.

The American culture has been rapidly declining since the a major tipping point in the 1960's when the youthful cultural revolution occurred. Secular Progressivism got a foothold in Universities and it spread quickly through the hippie movement where many modern activists/domestic terrorists like William Ayers, Obama's Chicago acquaintance, and other secular progressives began their journey. We balanced that crucial tipping point with the election of Reagan for a few years but the S-P movement slowly crept along through the 70's and 80's in the universities and among the elite intellectuals even though it resulted in the downfall of communism in the USSR. It exploded in the 90's during the Clinton years and George Bush couldn't slow it down much due to the distraction of two wars and the anti war movement from the left. Liberal university professors are still proselytizing our students to follow in their footsteps with anti war and anti American traditional values propaganda and this became very evident in the last election when the younger vote came out in mass for the Democratic ticket due to massive social networking trends which older more conservative voters didn't follow.
I believe we are at another critical tipping point now as evidenced on the secular/religious side by the S-Ps and atheists winning court cases involving controversial church/state issues with the help of the ACLU and on the political side the election of a progressive president and our current political culture war between left and right in congress and as evidenced by movements like the Tea Party Group. if the S-Ps succeed and keep the current administration in power for seven more years it may be too late and entropy/disorder will prevail and we will be beyond the tipping point forever. The result will be a European socialistic economy and culture sooner than we anticipated. There will be a point where conservatives will lose the culture war but they may well prevail assuming the Massachusetts bombshell election was a sign and the November elections will shift the system back to near equilibrium for at least two years. Beyond that we must continue to try and reverse the inevitable entropic tendency toward cultural disorder in order to maintain the traditional American Dream for our children as long as we can and avoid their European Progressive Worst Nightmare. I don't think most of us want our grandchildren going to a future Northpark/Dallas mall with a red light district, hash bar, and a medical pot shop! February, 2010

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